Meenakshi Lekhi made a grand debut, defeating Congress heavyweight and former minister Ajay Maken by 1,62,708 votes. Maken, who also happens to be an AICC general secretary, trailed at the third place with 1,82,893 which was just about 18% of the total votes polled. Aam Aadmi Party's journalist-turned-politician Ashish Khetan took the second spot with 2,90,642. The AAP vote share stood at 30%. The middle class, including a large contingent of government officials , seemed to have been swept by the "Modi wave" and went all out to oust Maken despite his campaign pitch about his clean image and development work.
A large share of middle class and lower middle class support went to former investigative journalist Ashish Khetan, who campaigned aggressively in Delhi's urban villages and slums. This parliamentary seat had sprung a surprise in December when Congress lost in all 10 assembly seats and AAP supremo Arvind Kejriwal sent Sheila Dikshit into exile in Kerala.
Birla can't fight Modi
Branded an outsider by rivals, Dalit leader Udit Raj defeated his nearest rival, Rakhi Birla of AAP, by over one lakh votes. Birla, however, managed to give Udit Raj a tough fight , trailing by about 1.6 lakh votes which is about 8 percentage points less than the BJP candidate. Right at the beginning, Congress' Krishna Tirath had virtually faded into the background. Both Birla and Udit Raj played the caste card. Birla made an emotional appeal while Udit Raj used the Modi factor. Birla, an MLA from Mongolpuri, fought under the shadow of Arvind Kejriwal's 49-day chaotic government and her promise of honest governance and development failed to do the trick. Udit Raj managed to get 46.4% of the votes while Birla got 38.6%. The Modi wave, a trend in the constituency's Jat-dominated villages, made all the difference. Tirath, a two-time MP, managed only a dismal 11.6% of the votes (1,57,468). She lost her deposit.
AAP's Sikh card fails
BJP's Parvesh Verma, son of former Delhi CM Sahib Singh Verma, won West Delhi by a record margin of 2.68 lakh, the highest victory margin in the city. Verma got 48.3% of the total vote share while AAP's Jarnail Singh was second with 28.4%. En bloc voting in Jat-dominated villages played a critical role in his victory. Congress' Mahabal Mishra, who was the MP, suffered a humiliating defeat, losing his deposit! Mishra, who is his party's Poorvanchali face, got just 1.9 lakh votes—14 .3% of the total votes polled. In 2009, Mishra had got 54.32% - 4.79 lakh votes - vote share whereas BJP's Jagdish Mukhi had got 39.72%.
The Poorvanchali vote bank, it seems, didn't side with him this time. He didn't even turn up at the community centre. And AAP failed to wean away Sikhs from BJP with a candidate from the community, Jarnail Singh. It, however, retained its support base in JJ clusters and unauthorized colonies. Though the result was clear after the fourth round, Verma sat at the centre till the end.
Gujjars see Bidhuri through
At 10.55am on Friday, during the fifth round of counting for South Delhi seat, BJP candidate Ramesh Bidhuri turned down requests for interview with 'abhi nahin' . Nervousness was apparent on the face of the three-time MLA from Tughlaqabad and the Gujjar face of BJP who was just 33,144 votes ahead of AAP candidate Devinder Sehrawat. He eventually defeated Sehrawat by a margin of 1,07,000. Bidhuri's victory was propelled largely by the Modi wave in urban pockets and his core supporters, the Gujjars, who have a significant presence here. He also benefitted from the splitting of Jat votes between the Congress and the AAP candidates who were from the community. Together, they polled over 5 lakh votes. AAP polled 3,90,980 (35.5%) votes while Congress's Ramesh Kumar, the sitting MP, was pushed to the third spot with 1, 25, 213 (11.4%). AAP held on to its vote bank in slums and resettlement colonies which have maximum migrant voters.
Muslim split helped Vardhan
A split in Muslim votes, coupled with a Modi wave, made Chandni Chowk an easy win for Dr Harsh Vardhan, chief ministerial candidate of BJP in the December assembly polls. He defeated AAP's Ashutosh by a margin of over 1.3 lakh votes, claiming 44.6% of the total votes and relegating the two-time MP from the constituency, Kapil Sibal of Congress, to third position. AAP got 30.7% while Congress got 17.9% of the vote share. In 2009, Sibal had 4.65 lakh votes in his kitty, 29,245 more than what Harshvardhan got this year. Facing Smriti Irani in 2004 to Vijender Gupta in 2009, Sibal had won with a margin of more than 2 lakh. This time he didn't even touch that mark, getting 1,75,619 votes. The constituency has a total Muslim population of around 2.9 lakh but the common perception that the minorities vote en bloc was belied. BJP was not entirely sure about Chandni Chowk and fielding Harsh Vardhan there was a gamble since he is the party's chief ministerial face.
Outsider actor makes inroads
Former DPCC head JP Agarwal made a quick exit from the counting centre early in the morning as the overwhelming lead of BJP candidate Manoj Tiwari, Bhojpuri actor and rank outsider, became evident. With a vote share of 5.9 lakh—a lead of 1.4 lakh over nearest rival, AAP's Anand Kumar—Tiwari was riding the Modi wave. This diluted the advantage that North East Delhi had held out for AAP with a 25-27 % Muslim population. The community turned out in strength, and many admitted voting for AAP, but middle class voters, along with the youth, blunted their impact. A turnout of 67.12%—second highest in Delhi—was the clinching factor. While Tiwari's vote share was 45.3%, AAP netted 34.3% with Congress trailing behind with only 16.3%. BJP's votes were almost as much as AAP and Congress combined. Agarwal had won by almost 2 lakh in 2009. He lost his deposit. AAP's Anand Kumar admitted the Modi wave was too strong to counter.
On a wing and a prayer
Because of its large Muslim and resettlement colony population, East Delhi was considered an AAP stronghold. However, riding high on the Modi wave, BJP first-timer Maheish Girri defeated AAP's Rajmohan Gandhi by 1.9 lakh votes. Congress' Sandeep Dikshit, a two-time MP, came third. The middle and upper middle class surge towards BJP is evident in the vote shares. While Girri polled 47.8% votes, Gandhi polled 31.9% and Dikshit was way behind at 17%. Despite having won five assembly seats in this seat last year, AAP lost with the second highest margin among the seven Delhi seats. Evidently, the slum votes and the split Muslim vote were insufficient to counter the middle class disillusionment with it. At a little over 2 lakh, Dikshit polled the second highest among the Congress candidates which is in sharp contrast to the last Lok Sabha poll when he had polled 5,18,001 votes and won against BJP's Chetan Chauhan by 2.4 lakh votes.